CHR’s COVID-19 Bulletin, April 6, 2020 #1

[This article deals with a rapidly developing situation. It was written by Norbert Gleicher, MD, on April 5, 2020 and published on April 6, 2020. For a list of all COVID-19 Bulletins, scroll to the bottom.] 

Northeastern states, including New York, may see first signs of “flattening the curve”

While new infections and, unfortunately, death rates are still increasing in New York state, and especially in New York City, authorities suggest that first signs of flattening in the curve of the COVID-19 epidemic may be becoming apparent. The first such sign is usually declining new infections, with hospitalization rates and death rates being relatively late indicators. For some time now, the number of days in which newly diagnosed cases double has been expanding, suggesting that separation measures put in place have been working. 

Authorities believe that this means that the region is nearing the peak of the curve. Because of the above-noted delays in hospitalization and death rates, the coming two weeks with great likelihood will bring new peaks in both of these measures and we can only hope that New York’s hospitals will be able to manage the situation. While basic supplies for medical staff protection and the number of ventilators, still, do not appear to be at ideal levels, both numbers have greatly improved. Moreover, additional bed capacity created by the federal government at the Javits Center and elsewhere in NYC, at least as of this moment, does not appear utilized to significant degrees, suggesting that the hospital system should be able to handle the coming peak utilization period. 

As it turns out, supplies of things are not the biggest problem; the biggest problem is that of manpower. What is really missing are physicians, nurses, respiratory therapists and their support staff. The federal government and charitable organizations have stepped in, with, for example, the feds staffing the new hospital at the Javits Center, fully staffing the military hospital ship on the Hudson and a not-for-profit organization not only building but also fully staffing a new temporary hospital in Central Park, right across Fifths Avenue from Mount Sinai Medical Center’s main facility. Paradoxically, while hospitals are practically begging for volunteer help, they at the same time are laying off personnel in significant numbers, as much of their incoming revenue stream has disappeared with mandated termination of all non-urgent care.

CHR’s COVID-19 Bulletins

  1. COVID-19 accelerating the changing practice of assisted reproduction (published on October 16, 2020)
  2. [Preprint by Norbert Gleicher, MD] COVID-10 pandemic through the eyes of a New York City fertility center (published on August 20, 2020)
  3. News you, likely, will not find in the media (Published on July 6, 2020)
  4. Notable reports in medical literature and the media on COVID-19 and immunity against it (Published on July 6, 2020)
  5. COVID-19 cases rapidly increase in South and Western U.S. states but that will help build herd immunity (Published on June 29, 2020)
  6. Are we witnessing a second wave of COVID-19 outbreak? (Published on June 22, 2020)
  7. WHO was wrong about asymptomatic patients being contagious & other COVID-19 fake news (Published on June 10, 2020)
  8. Updated COVID-19 precautions at CHR (Published on June 9, 2020)
  9. What we now know about COVID-19 and what it means for mitigation strategies (Published on May 22, 2020)
  10. COVID-19 response in retrospect, as well as going forward (Published on May 7, 2020)
  11. The essence of the COVID-19 pandemic (Published on May 7, 2020)
  12. Practical consequences of COVID-19 for CHR’s fertility patients (Published May 7, 2020)
  13. IVF after COVID-19: ASRM and SART release reopening guidelines for IVF centers (Published on 4/29/2020)
  14. One medical expert, missing from all COVID-19 task forces, who should be listened to (Published on 4/29/2020)
  15. Governments worldwide should have let herd immunity develop rather than cause one of the worst recessions on wild guesses of “experts” (Published 4/27/2020)
  16. Reciprocal collaboration among IVF centers for cycle monitoring may be on the wane (Published 4/22/2020)
  17. Is embryo freezing better than IVF during COVID-19 outbreak? (Published on 4/17/2020)
  18. When to restart fertility treatments after COVID-19 (Published on 4/17/2020)
  19. “Reopening” of fertility centers after COVID-19: How that may look like (Published on 4/17/2020)
  20. Some IVF centers may never reopen (Published on 4/17/2020)
  21. Skepticism warranted for “expert opinions” on COVID-19 (Published on 4/13/2020)
  22. Fertility Providers’ Alliance tries to reframe ASRM’s reaffirmation of COVID-19 guidelines as FPA victory (Published on 4/6/2020)
  23. States in the Northeast may see first signs of “flattening the curve” (Published on 4/6/2020)
  24. Reported death rate exaggerated by the media, shelter in place or herd immunity, first COVID-19 antibody test approved, and more (Published on 4/3/2020)
  25. What can I do to continue on my fertility journey? [VIDEO] (Filmed on 3/26/2020, published on 4/2/2020)
  26. “Controversy” over ASRM recommendation hints at investor interest’s power grab amid COVID-19 pandemic (Published on 4/2/2020)
  27. Pregnant women concerned over delivery and babies during COVID-19 pandemic (Published 4/1/2020)
  28. ASRM’s COVID-19 Task Force reaffirms previous recommendations (Published 4/1/2020)
  29. To stay open or not: IVF centers argue over ASRM guidelines on COVID-19 and fertility treatments (Published 3/27/2020)
  30. Concerning news on COVID-19’s effects on pregnancy and newborn (Published 3/27/2020)
  31. What’s urgent is urgent and what’s not urgent isn’t: Explaining ASRM recommendations on fertility treatments during COVID-19 pandemic (Published 3/26/2020)
  32. Patient autonomy and “do no harm” principles mean CHR continues to offer fertility diagnosis and treatments during COVID-19 crisis (Published 3/23/2020)
  33. ASRM and SART’s recommendations on fertility treatment during COVID-19 outbreak (Published 3/18/2020)
  34. CHR’s response to the COVID-19 outbreak: What we are doing to protect our patients, staff and community (Published 3/13/2020)
  35. Does COVID-19 have an effect on fertility? (Published 3/13/2020) 
  36. What happens if I get quarantined during an IVF cycle? (Published 3/13/2020)
  37. What happens if CHR is closed for quarantine during my IVF cycle? (Published 3/13/2020) 
  38. What should fertility patients do during the coronavirus outbreak? (Published 3/13/2020) 
  39. Should international patients of IVF do anything differently during the outbreak? (Published 3/13/2020) 
Norbert Gleicher, MD, leads CHR’s clinical and research efforts as Medical Director and Chief Scientist. A world-renowned specialist in reproductive endocrinology, Dr. Gleicher has published hundreds of peer-reviewed papers and lectured globally while keeping an active clinical career focused on ovarian aging, immunological issues and other difficult cases of infertility.